Wednesday, June 8, 2011
HOT JOBS FOR THE 21st CENTURY
Over the 2000-2010 period, total employment is projected to increase by 22.2 million jobs. From jobs in farming, fishing, and forestry to jobs in management, business, and finance, every major occupational group will experience some amount of job growth. Smaller employment gains, like those projected in production occupations (750,000 jobs) and those in installation, maintenance, and repair occupations (662,000 jobs) will be dwarfed by the gains expected in professional and related occupations (7.0 million jobs) and those in service occupations (5.1 million jobs).
In addition to the employment gains mentioned above, there will also be increases in labor force participation over the 2000-2010 period. The number of women in the labor force is projected to increase from 65.6 million in 2000 to 75.5 million in 2010--an increase of 15.1 percent. The number of men in the labor force is projected to increase from 75.2 million in 2000 to 82.2 million in 2010--a 9.3 percent increase. By 2010, women are projected to account for 48 percent of the total labor force.
As women's share of the labor force continues to climb, it is important for women to be aware of the jobs that will have the fastest growth, the jobs with the largest numerical increases, and the education and training necessary to secure one of these jobs. Fastest job growth refers to the percentage change in employment within a particular occupation over a specific period of time. Numerical job growth refers to the total number of jobs created within an occupation over a specific period of time.
The pay offered by these growth occupations should also be considered when choosing a job or career. While wage projections by occupations are not available, a look at the median weekly earnings of wage and salary workers who usually work full time, by occupation, provides additional job resource information.
Table 1 shows employment by major occupational groups in 2000 and projections for 2010. Table 2 shows the occupations with the fastest job growth over the 2000-2010 period. Table 3 shows the occupations with the largest numerical job growth over the 2000-2010 period. Table 4 shows the median weekly earnings in 2001 for some of the occupations expected to have fast job growth or large numerical job growth over the 2000-2010 period. If employment is projected to increase 36 percent or more, a job is considered to grow much faster than average; an increase of 21 to 35 percent, faster than average; an increase of 10 to 20 percent, growth about as fast as average; an increase of 3 to 9 percent, more slowly than average; an increase of zero to 2 percent, little or no change; and a decrease of 1 percent or more, a decline (see Table 1).
Table 1
Employment by Major Occupational Group, 2000 and Projected 2010
(numbers in thousands)
Text Version
Employment Change
Occupational group 2000 2010 Number Percent
Total, all occupations 1 45,594 167,754 22,160 15.2
Management, business,
and financial occupations 15,519 17,635 2,115 13.6
Professional and related occupations 26,758 33,709 6,952 26
Service occupations 26,075 31,163 5,088 19.5
Sales and related occupations 15,513 17,365 1,852 11.9
Office and administrative
support occupations 23,882 26,053 2,171 9.1
Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations 1,429 1,480 51 3.6
Construction and extraction occupations 7,451 8,439 989 13.3
Installation, maintenance,
and repair occupations 5,820 6,482 662 11.4
Production occupations 13,060 13,811 750 5.7
Transportation and
material moving occupations 10,088 11,618 1,530 15.2
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review, November 2001.
The occupational groups expected to add at least 2 million new jobs while displaying at least average job growth between 2000 and 2010 are: professional and related occupations; service occupations; and management, business, and financial occupations.
Of all the major occupational groups (see Table 1), professional and related occupations is projected to increase the fastest (26.0 percent) and add the largest number of jobs (7 million) between 2000 and 2010. The majority of this job growth comes from three subgroups: computer and mathematical occupations; health care practitioners and technical occupations; and education, training, and library occupations. Examples of occupations within these three areas are: computer software engineers; database administrators; desktop publishers; medical records and health information technicians; and special education, preschool, and elementary teachers. Among health care practitioners, registered nurses--by far the largest occupation in this subgroup--should account for more than a third of all new jobs.
Service occupations will have the second largest numerical job growth (5.1 million jobs) and the second highest rate of job growth (19.5 percent). The subgroups that will account for most of this job growth are food preparation and serving related occupations (1.6 million jobs); health care support occupations (1.1 million jobs); personal care and service occupations (856,000 jobs); protective service occupations (809,000); and building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations (779,000 jobs).
Management, business, and financial occupations will grow by 2.1 million jobs. Within this group, management occupations will add nearly 1.3 million jobs and business and financial operations occupations will add 845,000 jobs.
Sales and related occupations are projected to grow about as fast as average (11.9 percent) with a total job increase of about 1.9 million jobs. The largest numerical job growth in this group, however, is in occupations with fairly low median weekly earnings--such as cashiers, retail salespersons, and supervisors, sales workers. Median weekly earnings for these three occupations ranged from $299-$618 in 2001.
Jobs in office and administrative support occupations are projected to increase by 2.2 million, however, they will grow more slowly than average. The largest numerical job growth is expected in customer service representatives, receptionists and information clerks, and bill and account collectors. This group also contains some of the occupations with the largest job declines--order clerks, 71,000 jobs; tellers, 59,000 jobs; insurance claims and policy processing clerks, 58,000 jobs; and word processors and typists, 57,000 jobs.
Average job growth is projected for transportation and material moving occupations. Of the 1.5 million jobs that will be created in this group, nearly 40 percent will be for driver/sales workers and truck drivers--heavy, tractor-trailer, light, and delivery. Water transportation occupations will grow much slower than average and railroad occupations will show an 18.5 percent decline in jobs over the 2000-2010 period.
As shown in Table 2, of the 30 occupations with the fastest job growth over the 2000-2010 period, 17 are health-related and 10 are computer-related occupations. Some of the fast-growing health-related occupations include personal and home care aides; physician assistants; medical assistants; medical records and health information technicians; dental hygienists; speech-language pathologists; and veterinary technologists and technicians. Some of the fast-growing computer-related occupations include computer software engineers, applications and systems software; network and computer systems administrators; desktop publishers; database administrators; and computer systems analysts.
Of the 30 occupations with the largest numerical job growth over the 2000-2010 period (see Table 3), some of the health-related occupations are registered nurses, home health aides, and medical assistants. Examples of the computer-related occupations are computer support specialists, computer software applications engineers, and computer systems analysts. Within the education, training, and library occupations, some are postsecondary teachers, teacher assistants, and elementary school teachers, except special education.
Table 2
Occupations with the Fastest Job Growth, 2000-2010
(Numbers in thousands of jobs)
Text Version
Employment Occupation 2000 2010 Number Percent
Computer related occupations
Computer software engineers,
applications 380 760 380 100
Computer support specialists 506 996 490 97
Computer software engineers,
systems software 317 601 284 90
Network and computer systems
administrators 229 416 187 82
Network systems and data
communications analysts 119 211 92 77
Desktop publishers 38 63 25 67
Database administrators 106 176 70 66
Computer systems analysts 431 689 258 60
Computer and information systems managers 313 463 150 48
Computer and information scientists, research 28 39 11 40
Health related occupations
Personal and home care aides 414 672 258 62
Medical assistants 329 516 187 57
Physician assistants 58 89 31 53
Medical records and health
information technicians 136 202 66 49
Home health aides 615 907 291 47
Physical therapist aides 36 53 17 46
Audiologists 13 19 6 45
Occupational therapist aides 9 12 4 45
Physical therapist assistants 44 64 20 45
Occupational therapist assistants 17 23 7 40
Veterinary assistants and laboratory
animal caretakers 55 77 22 40
Veterinary technologists and technicians 49 69 19 39
Speech-language pathologists 88 122 34 39
Mental health and substance abuse
social workers 83 116 33 39
Dental assistants 247 339 92 37
Dental hygienists 147 201 54 37
Pharmacy technicians 190 259 69 36
Other occupations
Social and human service assistants 271 418 147 54
Fitness trainers and aerobics instructors 158 222 64 40
Special education teachers, preschool,
kindergarten, and elementary school 234 320 86 37
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review,
November 2001.
Table 3
Selected Occupations with the Largest Job Growth, 2000-2010
(Numbers in thousands of jobs)
Text Version
Employment Change
Occupation 2000 2010 Number Percent
Combined food preparation and serving
workers, including fast food 2,206 2,879 673 30
Customer service representatives 1,946 2,577 631 32
Registered nurses 2,194 2,755 561 26
Retail salespersons 4,109 4,619 510 12
Computer support specialists 506 996 490 97
Cashiers, except gaming 3,325 3,799 474 14
Office clerks, general 2,705 3,135 430 16
Security guards 1,106 1,497 391 35
Computer software engineers, applications 380 760 380 100
Waiters and waitresses 1,983 2,347 364 18
General and operations managers 2,398 2,761 363 15
Truck drivers, heavy and tractor-trailer 1,749 2,095 346 20
Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants 1,373 1,697 323 24
Janitors and cleaners, except maids
and housekeeping cleaners 2,348 2,665 317 13
Postsecondary teachers 1,344 1,659 315 23
Teacher assistants 1,262 1,562 301 24
Home health aides 615 907 291 47
Laborers and freight, stock, and
material movers, hand 2,084 2,373 289 14
Computer software engineers,
systems software 317 601 284 90
Landscaping and groundskeeping workers 894 1,154 260 29
Personal and home care aides 414 672 258 62
Computer systems analysts 431 689 258 60
Receptionists and information clerks 1,078 1,334 256 24
Truck drivers, light or delivery services 1,117 1,331 215 19
Packers and packagers, hand 1,091 1,300 210 19
Elementary school teachers,
except special education 1,532 1,734 202 13
Medical assistants 329 516 187 57
Network and computer
systems administrators 229 416 187 82
Secondary school teachers, except
special and vocational education 1,004 1,190 187 19
Accountants and auditors 976 1,157 181 19
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review,
November 2001.
The median weekly earnings of all wage and salary workers who worked full time in 2001 was $597 for both sexes. Even though an occupation may be projected to show faster than average growth and/or a large numerical increase, the median weekly earnings of that occupation could be much lower than the average for all workers (see Table 4).
Table 4
2001 Median Weekly Earnings of Selected Growth Occupations
Text Version
Median Weekly Earnings, 2001
(Both Sexes)
Occupations with fastest job growth
Computer systems analysts and scientists $1,100
Operations and systems researchers
and analysts 931
Physician assistants 839
Speech therapists 834
Special education teachers 761
Elementary school teachers 740
Health technologists and technicians 562
Pre-kindergarten and kindergarten teachers 480
Dental assistants 435
Occupations with largest job growth
Computer systems analysts and scientists $1,100
Teachers, college and university 1,009
Registered nurses 829
Secondary school teachers 774
Accountants and auditors 773
Elementary school teachers 740
Truck drivers 593
General office clerks 465
Information clerks 421
Health aides, except nursing 375
Sales workers, retail and personal services 363
Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants 360
Hand packers and packagers 326
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review, November 2001 and Employment and Earnings, January 2002.
Conclusion
Among the major occupational groups (as shown in Table 1), employment in professional and related occupations and service occupations will increase the fastest and add the most jobs between the 2000-2010 period. While professional and related occupations require the most education and training and offer the highest earnings, service occupations require the least amount of training and offer some of the lowest earnings. More detailed information about any occupation, including training and resources, mentioned in this report can be found in the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics' publication, "Occupational Outlook Handbook," 2002-2003 Edition.
It can also be accessed on the Internet at http://www.bls.gov/oco/home.htm
http://www.dol.gov/wb/factsheets/hotjobs03.htm
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